There us nondoubt in my mind that pipemtolls will be higher due to capex inflation.
However, the win for all is importation via arbitrage of a measure of the differential between Station 3 pricing (currently ~$3.10/mcf CDN) and JKM pricing (currently $19.49 US/mmbtu or ~ $26 CDN for the front month (March)).
Pulling in just $1-2/mcf of the $23/mcf differential (I didn't bother with the 4% diff between mcf & mmbtu, irrelevant to my point) is the secret sauce that makes everything work for everyone (NOCs with production are indifferent, one pocket or the other).
Regards,
David