Energy Investing - EIA-914 for November-demand was much higher than product supplies in weeklies...again - Energy Investing - InvestorVillage


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Msg  479390 of 501496  at  1/31/2023 11:31:35 AM  by

romm

The following message was updated on 1/31/2023 11:33:10 AM.

EIA-914 for November-demand was much higher than product supplies in weeklies...again

 
US oil demand y/y growth by product in kbpd
Gasoline -172 to 8849
distillate -129 to 4061
NGL +102 to 3354
jet fuel +100 to 1607
Still gas +22 at 669
EIA
 
Another positive surprise for US oil demand, EIA weeklies had demand at 20.266mbpd and EIA STEO had 20.022mbpd for November #oott
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Giovanni Staunovo
@staunovo
US oil demand rose by 20kbpd or 0.1% y/y to 20.593mbpd in November, down 143kppd or 0.7% vs November 2019 - EIA #oott
 
 
Total oil demand rose 0.1% in November compared to consistently lower in weeklies by 7-9% for many months
Gas demand fell by 2%
Distillate demand fell by 3% - vs. both were lower by 6-10% consistently in weeklies
 
Jet demand rose by 6.5% vs. fell in some weeklies. I have posted such BS based on jumped number of flights (not seats but flights).
 
As a broken record - the main problem was that EIA reported not demand, but product supply in weeklies, but traders used such data as adjusted demand with faulty conclusions. 
October and November - 2 months in a row....and in prior months.
 
But inventory builds were correct...low demand season plus disruptive weather this year resulted in lower refinery inputs.
 
romm 
 


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Msg # Subject Author Recs Date Posted
479429 Re: EIA-914 for November-demand - more color bullhonky 1 1/31/2023 3:21:48 PM




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