US Dollar Index Alert - Important support could fail soon. | Precious Metals Message Board Posts



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Msg  262712 of 265287  at  1/25/2023 7:38:10 PM  by

tobinator00

The following message was updated on 1/25/2023 7:39:04 PM.

US Dollar Index Alert - Important support could fail soon.

I thought it important to put out a post tonight.  The US Dollar Index had a low in late May of 101.42.  Today the Index closed there and on the half-hour chart of the Buck, it looks ripe and ready to drop through this important level.  I zoomed into the Index's chart covering the last 6 weeks.  When a price drops to a low, rebounds makes a series of repeated moves with lower highs there's a fairly high probability the support line will fail.  Looking at the pattern below, I estimate breaking the support line will open up an Index level of 99.4.  With the Bullish posture of the Gold market, we could being seeing Gold hitting $2000.
 
Around the September-October time frame (Gold $1650 range, USDX > 113), I said that I believe Gold would grind higher and eventually hit $1900 in 9 months.  That was based upon the US dollar falling and Gold roughly equaling an inverse in appreciation.  2023 has been highly unusual for this market.  Gold has a tail wind with the USD falling but the magnitude of Gold's move is considerably much more. 
 
Not in my wildest imagination did I think Gold could touch $2000 before February, but folks there's a realistic path for that to happen.  I'm just awestruck by the strength of this move.
 
 
 
 


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Msg # Subject Author Recs Date Posted
262719 Re: US Dollar Index Alert - Important support could fail soon. madtig6 8 1/26/2023 10:22:42 AM




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